📈 Tesla's Great Escape

Good Morning…

While most investors were busy predicting Tesla's demise in April, the stock quietly began one of the year's most spectacular reversals—climbing 85% from its $221 low to prove once again that Mr. Market's mood swings create the best opportunities for those patient enough to endure them.

🔎 Market Trends → Market expert says to watch chip stocks amid key 'inflection point'

🖥️ Market Movers from Fintech.tv → [WATCH] Bridging Borders: CFTC’s Vision for a Global Crypto Landscape 

And now…

⏱️ Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, September 16, 2025:

MARKET BRIEF
Before the Open 

Pre-Market

Fear & Greed

Markets in Review

Trade Truce Hopes Push S&P Past 6,600—Tesla Turbocharges Sentiment

S&P 500 +0.5% to 6,615 (record close). Nasdaq +0.9% to 22,349 (record). Dow +0.1% to 45,883.

The Big Picture:

A spoonful of geopolitics helped the rally go down. Trump’s upbeat take on U.S.–China talks—including hints of a TikTok compromise—eased tariff angst just as investors brace for this week’s Fed decision. Markets are pricing a quarter-point cut; the debate is how many come next.

Under the hood, leadership broadened beyond the usual mega-cap suspects. Tesla (TSLA) +3% after Elon Musk’s ~$1B insider buy—his biggest ever—signaled skin in the game as the company leans harder into autonomy and robotics. Alphabet (GOOGL) briefly joined the $3T club, underscoring how AI spend continues to compound.

Commodities: Gold set another record—a classic “insurance policy” bid with yields drifting and policy risk rising. WTI crude hovered in the low-$60s, a sweet spot that restrains input costs without choking energy cash flows.

Market Movers:

• TSLA jumped on Musk’s buy—insider alignment often compresses risk premiums and invites quant/momentum flows.

• Western Digital (WDC) rallied after price hikes on hard drives amid “unprecedented demand”—a tailwind for storage suppliers tied to AI build-outs.

• Nvidia (NVDA) lagged as China’s antitrust probe re-entered the chat; regulatory fog can cap near-term multiple expansion even with secular tailwinds.

• Analog names like TXN/ON/ADI traded soft on China antidumping headlines, a reminder that old-economy chips aren’t immune to new-economy politics.

What They’re Saying:

“The market is fully expecting the Fed to start a series of rate cuts… This could be a ‘buy the rumor, sell the fact’ event,” — Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

WHAT WE’RE WATCHING
Events

• Today: Census Bureau - Core Retail Sales m/m; Retail Sales m/m - 8:30am

  Why You Should Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;

Earnings Reports

• Today: Barnes & Noble Education, PetMeds (PetMed Express), Ferguson

• Tomorrow: General Mills, Cracker Barrel, Nano Dimension

MARKET INSIGHTS
Leading News 

Tesla's Great Escape: From $221 to $410 in Five Months

Why it matters:

The electric vehicle giant's 85% surge since April demonstrates how quickly market sentiment can shift—and why panic-selling rarely pays off.

Zoom Out:

Tesla (TSLA) has erased its entire 2025 loss, climbing from a $221.86 April low to $410.26 Monday. This marks the second consecutive year the stock has staged a dramatic recovery after a brutal first quarter selloff.

The rally accelerated after CEO Elon Musk's $1 billion share purchase through his family foundation—a classic insider confidence signal that smart money recognizes. Wall Street initially panicked over Trump's tariff announcements and Tesla's aging EV lineup, but patient investors who held through the storm are now vindicated.

Despite the rebound, Tesla remains the second-worst megacap performer this year, trailing only Apple's 5% decline—a reminder that even comeback stories carry scars.

Key Insights:

• MegaBlocks momentum: Tesla's preassembled battery storage systems are quietly building a $6 billion energy business that analysts previously overlooked

• The Musk premium: His political activities created selling pressure, but the $1 trillion CEO pay package proposal signals board confidence in long-term execution

• Robotaxi reality check: While autonomous driving and Optimus robots grab headlines, core EV sales remain challenged by Chinese competition

Market Pulse:

"Tesla's ability to bounce back after down quarters is becoming a pattern investors can count on" —Sand Hill's Brenda Vingiello

Bull’s Take:

Tesla's volatility creates opportunity for investors with strong stomachs and longer time horizons. When the world's richest person bets $1 billion on his own company, perhaps it's time to pay attention.

Market Stories of Note

CoreWeave's $6.3 Billion Nvidia Deal - When Your Customer Becomes Your Guarantor:

CoreWeave's disclosure of a massive $6.3 billion committed order from Nvidia—which also happens to be both an investor and its primary supplier—demonstrates how AI infrastructure has created uniquely intertwined business relationships that would make traditional investors queasy. The arrangement essentially guarantees Nvidia will purchase CoreWeave's unused GPU capacity through 2032, transforming what could be stranded assets into a contractual revenue stream worth more than many Fortune 500 companies' annual sales. For investors watching CoreWeave's 300% post-IPO surge to a $58 billion valuation, this deal offers both validation of the AI gold rush and a reminder that even the most promising growth stories can depend entirely on the goodwill of a single, conflicted partner.

Trump's Six-Month Earnings Plan: Liberation or Information Blackout?

Trump's push to halve earnings reporting frequency from quarterly to semi-annual could free executives from Wall Street's relentless short-term scrutiny, potentially unlocking the patient capital allocation that has made Chinese companies formidable long-term competitors. The SEC has promised to prioritize this 50-year-old practice overhaul, despite academic warnings that longer disclosure gaps historically create more opportunities for accounting shenanigans and insider trading while leaving retail investors flying blind for months at a time. For savvy investors, this shift could reward those who master the art of reading between the lines—and punish momentum traders who've grown addicted to quarterly earnings drama.

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CRYPTO
Fear & Greed 

Headlines

• Bitcoin ETFs lock $2.3B in inflows as BTC steadies above $115K (link)

• MoonPay to Buy Startup Meso to Expand Crypto Payments Further

  (link)

• Boundless Launches Mainnet on Base, Ushering in Universal Zero-Knowledge Compute (link)