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Powell gives the September rate cut signal, bank stocks rally to two-year high, Boeing taps aerospace veteran as new CEO, Ackman’s Pershing Square withdraws IPO amid low demand, and Nvidia surges on Microsoft’s magic words …

Good morning.

The Fast Five → Powell gives the September rate cut signal, bank stocks rally to two-year high, Boeing taps aerospace veteran as new CEO, Ackman’s Pershing Square withdraws IPO amid low demand, and Nvidia surges on Microsoft’s magic words …

Calendar: (all times ET)

  • Today: Initial jobless claims, 8:30 AM

  • Tomorrow: Employment report, 8:30 AM

Your 5-minute briefing for Thursday, August 1:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 7/31/2024.

PRE-MARKET

MARKETS

  • US stocks surged after J Pow signaled a September rate cut

    • S&P and Nasdaq posted their best day since February

    • Rate futures now reflect a 17% chance of a 50 bps rate cut in September and broadly 75 bps of cuts by year-end

  • Canada's TSX index climbed 1.3% to an ATH

  • Australia's ASX 200 climbed 1.7% to an ATH

  • US 10Y yields posted its biggest monthly decline YTD

  • Japan 2Y and 5Y yields hit 0.45% and 0.66% respectively, a 15 year-high

  • Yen rose 1.4% versus the dollar to its highest since March

  • Oil prices surged on Mideast tensions

  • Swaps markets priced in a 65% chance of a BoE rate cut today

EARNINGS

  • Meta rose 7% after beating Q2 estimates and issuing upbeat guidance on strength in ad revenue and growth in AI (link)

  • Qualcomm rose 8% after beating Q3 estimates and issuing strong guidance thanks to strong growth in phone chip sales (link)

  • Boeing reporter a larger-than-expected Q2 loss and missed revenue estimates as its airplane and defense businesses continue to struggle (link)

  • KKR's Q2 net income soared by 49% on record-high fee earnings (link)

  • What we're watching this week:

    • Today: Apple, Amazon, Intel, Coinbase

    • Friday: ExxonMobil, Chevron

  • Full calendar here

NEWS BRIEFING

Officials tempered their assessment of the labor market. They said inflation has eased over the past year but remains “somewhat elevated.”

Strategists turn to bank stocks as a favored ‘Trump trade’. Regional lenders notch best monthly gain since November 2016.

  • Slowing wage gains restrain US labor costs in second quarter (link)

  • Traders rush back to oil options to hedge Mid-East political risk (link)

  • Wall St panel endorses T-bill supply scorned by republicans (link)

  • Japan raises interest rates for second time since 2007 (link)

  • Nvidia’s stock surges 13% as Microsoft says the magic words (link)

  • Meta shares pop on revenue and earnings beat (link)

  • Boeing taps new CEO, aerospace veteran Ortberg (link)

  • Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square withdraws IPO as demand for offering waned (link)

  • Delta Air Lines CEO says CrowdStrike outage to cost carrier $500 mln (link)

  • Reddit CEO says Microsoft needs to pay to search the site (link)

  • Bungie is laying off 220 employees and moving others to PlayStation (link)

CRYPTO

  • Grayscale's Bitcoin Mini Trust (BTC) began trading on NYSE Arca with a 0.15% fee, the lowest among spot Bitcoin ETFs (link)

  • US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $33.7 million in net inflows, ending a streak of negative flows (link)

  • The Bahamas passed DARE 2024, new crypto legislation aimed at restoring its status as a digital asset hub post-FTX collapse (link)

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